SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeatherSingle source1d ago

Tornado Warning — Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD

Tornado warnings are active for Charles and St. Marys counties in Maryland. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations are present in the affected area. News signals are geographically unrelated, covering flooding in India and EU ozone levels with no WFM relevance.

Impact Summary

Domain

Weather

Region

Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD, Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD

Opened By

watchkeeper

Jul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Validated By

auto

Jul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Event Cluster

3 events

OVIX Score

10.0

Closed

watchkeeper-auto(resolved)

Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Timeline5

⚠

Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Declared from 2 signals. OVIX 10. News 2. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.

✓

Severity validatedby autoJul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.

✎

Note addedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

External corroboration: single-source (1 source via Exa). thebaynet.com

✎

Note addedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Merged new cluster (5 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.

✖

Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 11, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Auto-closed: no new material events within 36h for this incident.

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 9, 10:30 PM UTC

Why declareddeclareHybrid

Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1

DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).

domain

weather

regions

["Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD"]

bpo score

0

news score

2

llm declare

no

max severity

10

signal count

2

llm rationale

Suppressed: no known contact-center or knowledge-worker footprint in Charles/St. Marys, MD per operations footprint data; criterion (a) applies.

aggregate title

no

high confidence

yes

acute weather floor

yes

deterministic floor

yes

model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06

Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic

Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1

Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.

domain

weather

bpo score

0

news score

2

persistent

no

max severity

10

auto validated

yes

acute weather floor

yes

Geo Provenance

Tierprecise

Sourcesignal_coords

Deterministic

SourcesSingle source

[Charles, MD; St. Marys, MD] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel

Fireworks Under Threat: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Warns Of 70-80 MPH Winds Across Southern Maryland - The BayNet↗thebaynet.com

Related Signals19

External Corroboration

Single sourceChecked Jul 9, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC

Fireworks Under Threat: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Warns Of 70-80 MPH Winds Across Southern Maryland - The BayNet↗thebaynet.comJul 4, 2026, 07:29 PM UTC

Affected Regions

Central Coastal ZoneCharles, MD; St. Marys, MDEastern Coastal ZonePomorskie Province Pucki County