SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 3 sources3d ago

Tornado Warning — Kanabec, MN

Signals include a red strong wind warning for Pucki County, Poland; duplicate tornado warnings for Kanabec, MN; and news coverage of flooding and monsoon activity across India. The Poland signal is already covered under an open incident, the Kanabec tornado warning is subsumed by the open US Midwest Tornado Warning incident, and the India flooding news carries no known contact-center or knowledge-worker footprint in the affected areas.

Impact Summary

Signals include a red strong wind warning for Pucki County, Poland; duplicate tornado warnings for Kanabec, MN; and news coverage of flooding and monsoon activity across India. The Poland signal is already covered under an open incident, the Kanabec tornado warning is subsumed by the open US Midwest Tornado Warning incident, and the India flooding news carries no known contact-center or knowledge-worker footprint in the affected areas.

Domain
Weather
Region
Pomorskie Province Pucki County, Pomorskie Province Pucki County
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
Event Cluster
6 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(resolved)
Jul 10, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC

Timeline8

⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
Declared from 3 signals. OVIX 10. News 2. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (3 sources via Exa). fox9.com, spotonminnesota.com, pineandlakes.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 8, 2026, 05:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (3 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 03:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (6 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (2 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
↻
Revalidatedby watchkeeperJul 10, 2026, 05:30 AM UTC
Revalidated: 5 new signal(s) recorded, no material-clock advance (agents-019 §C). Next reval in 48h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 10, 2026, 04:00 PM UTC
Auto-closed: no new material events within 36h for this incident.

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 8, 05:00 AM UTC
Why declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Pomorskie Province Pucki County","Kanabec, MN"]
bpo score
0
news score
2
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
3
llm rationale
Suppressed: Poland signal duplicates an open incident; Kanabec tornado is covered by the open US Midwest Tornado Warning; India flooding affects regions with no known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations footprint.
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
2
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
Deterministic
Sources✓ Corroborated · 3 sources

Related Signals20

[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel1d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel1d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel1d ago[DepresióN Central De Tarragona] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Depresión central de Tarragonasentinel1d ago[DepresióN Central De Lleida] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Depresión central de Lleidasentinel1d ago[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel1d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel1d ago[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel1d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel1d ago[DepresióN Central De Lleida] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Depresión central de Lleidasentinel1d ago[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel1d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel1d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel1d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel1d ago[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel1d ago[DepresióN Central De Tarragona] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Depresión central de Tarragonasentinel2d ago[DepresióN Central De Tarragona] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Depresión central de Tarragonasentinel2d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Pomorskie Province Pucki County] weather 10.0 — Red Strong wind warning for Poland - Pomorskie Province Pucki Countysentinel2d ago

External Corroboration

✓ Corroborated · 3 sourcesChecked Jul 8, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
Minnesota weather: Severe storms bring golf ball hail, tornado reported near Detroit Lakes | FOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul↗fox9.comJul 7, 2026, 03:18 AM UTCDamage, injuries reported after 'PDS' tornado near Detroit Lakes | West Central Minnesota↗spotonminnesota.comJul 7, 2026, 03:44 PM UTCPowerful line of storms prompt tornado warnings in Brainerd area - Brainerd Dispatch | News, weather, sports from Brainerd and Baxter↗pineandlakes.comJun 29, 2026, 04:46 PM UTC

Affected Regions

Central Coastal ZoneDepresióN Central De LleidaDepresióN Central De TarragonaEastern Coastal ZoneHarrison, IA; Pottawattamie, IA; Shelby, IAKanabec, MNPomorskie Province Pucki County