SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 5 sources4d ago
Severe Thunderstorm Warning — Smith, TX
A cluster of severe weather signals spans Bajo Aragón de Teruel (extreme heat), Poland's eastern coastal zone (red storm warning), Argeș Romania (torrential mountain rainfall), and Smith/Rusk counties in Texas (severe thunderstorms). No confirmed contact-center, knowledge-worker, or customer-operations footprint is identified in any of these specific affected areas. Texas thunderstorm activity in Smith/Rusk counties is geographically distinct from open incidents covering DFW, Bossier/Caddo LA, and Raleigh.
Impact Summary
A cluster of severe weather signals spans Bajo Aragón de Teruel (extreme heat), Poland's eastern coastal zone (red storm warning), Argeș Romania (torrential mountain rainfall), and Smith/Rusk counties in Texas (severe thunderstorms). No confirmed contact-center, knowledge-worker, or customer-operations footprint is identified in any of these specific affected areas. Texas thunderstorm activity in Smith/Rusk counties is geographically distinct from open incidents covering DFW, Bossier/Caddo LA, and Raleigh.
Domain
Weather
Region
Bajo AragóN De Teruel, Bajo AragóN De Teruel
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
Event Cluster
8 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(resolved)
Jul 9, 2026, 06:30 PM UTC
Timeline6
⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
Declared from 6 signals. OVIX 10. News 2. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (5 sources via Exa). europapress.es, lacomarca.net, heraldo.es, sanangelolive.com, elperiodicodearagon.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 7, 2026, 06:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (4 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 8, 2026, 06:01 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (5 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 9, 2026, 06:30 PM UTC
Revalidation: no new material events for 36h. Auto-closed.
Evidence / Why this?
Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 7, 06:00 PM UTCWhy declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Bajo AragóN De Teruel","Eastern Coastal Zone","Smith, TX","Argeș","Rusk, TX; Smith, TX"]
bpo score
0
news score
2
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
6
llm rationale
declare:false — operations footprint is confirmed minimal/absent across all affected regions, satisfying suppression criterion (a), and the Texas signals do not overlap with any known ops hub.
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
2
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
DeterministicSources✓ Corroborated · 5 sources
[Bajo AragóN De Teruel] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Bajo Aragón de Teruelsentinel
[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel
[Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel
[Argeș] weather 8.0 — În zona de munte, vor fi averse torențiale, iar în intervale scurte de timp (1-3 ore) sau prin acumulare cantitățile de apă vor fi de 25-40 l/mp și izolat de peste 50 l/mp.sentinel
[Rusk, TX; Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel
[Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel
El Gobierno de Aragón desactiva el Plan Especial de Protección Civil por lluvias y tormentas generalizadas↗europapress.esEl Bajo Aragón-Caspe en alerta naranja por fuertes lluvias y tormentas↗lacomarca.netAragón activa la alerta por fuertes lluvias y tormentas en toda la Comunidad↗heraldo.esSevere Thunderstorm Warning, Dust Storm Alert Issued for San Angelo Area↗sanangelolive.comCambio brusco del tiempo en Aragón: tormentas con granizo y bajada de temperaturas esta semana↗elperiodicodearagon.comRelated Signals20
[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Argeș] weather 8.0 — În zona de munte, vor fi averse torențiale, iar în intervale scurte de timp (1-3 ore) sau prin acumulare cantitățile de apă vor fi de 25-40 l/mp și izolat de peste 50 l/mp.sentinel2d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Eastern Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Thunderstorms in the coastal zone warning for Poland - Eastern coastal zonesentinel2d ago[Argeș] weather 8.0 — În zona de munte, vor fi averse torențiale, iar în intervale scurte de timp (1-3 ore) sau prin acumulare cantitățile de apă vor fi de 25-40 l/mp și izolat de peste 50 l/mp.sentinel3d ago[Argeș] weather 8.0 — În zona de munte, vor fi averse torențiale, iar în intervale scurte de timp (1-3 ore) sau prin acumulare cantitățile de apă vor fi de 25-40 l/mp și izolat de peste 50 l/mp.sentinel3d ago[Bajo AragóN De Teruel] weather 10.0 — Extreme high-temperature warning. Bajo Aragón de Teruelsentinel3d ago[Eure Et Loir] weather 8.0 — Severe high-temperature warningsentinel3d ago[Eure Et Loir] weather 8.0 — Severe high-temperature warningsentinel3d ago[Clark, SD; Day, SD] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel3d ago[Argeș] weather 8.0 — În zona de munte, vor fi averse torențiale, iar în intervale scurte de timp (1-3 ore) sau prin acumulare cantitățile de apă vor fi de 25-40 l/mp și izolat de peste 50 l/mp.sentinel3d ago[Central Coastal Zone] weather 10.0 — Red Storm warning for Poland - Central coastal zonesentinel3d ago[Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel4d ago[Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel4d ago[Rusk, TX; Smith, TX] weather 8.0 — Severe Thunderstorm Warningsentinel4d ago
External Corroboration
✓ Corroborated · 5 sourcesChecked Jul 7, 2026, 06:00 PM UTCEl Gobierno de Aragón desactiva el Plan Especial de Protección Civil por lluvias y tormentas generalizadas↗europapress.esJun 30, 2026, 07:59 AM UTCEl Bajo Aragón-Caspe en alerta naranja por fuertes lluvias y tormentas↗lacomarca.netJun 28, 2026, 10:00 AM UTCAragón activa la alerta por fuertes lluvias y tormentas en toda la Comunidad↗heraldo.esJun 28, 2026, 02:26 PM UTCSevere Thunderstorm Warning, Dust Storm Alert Issued for San Angelo Area↗sanangelolive.comJul 6, 2026, 01:28 AM UTCCambio brusco del tiempo en Aragón: tormentas con granizo y bajada de temperaturas esta semana↗elperiodicodearagon.comJun 27, 2026, 05:35 PM UTC
Affected Regions
ArgeșBajo AragóN De TeruelCentral Coastal ZoneClark, SD; Day, SDEastern Coastal ZoneEure Et LoirRusk, TX; Smith, TXSmith, TX