SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 5 sources5d ago
Tornado Warning — Us Northeast
A tornado warning has been issued for the US Northeast, coinciding with broader severe weather activity across the region during the Fourth of July period. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations footprint has been identified in the affected area. Situation does not meet threshold for operational escalation.
Impact Summary
A tornado warning has been issued for the US Northeast, coinciding with broader severe weather activity across the region during the Fourth of July period. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations footprint has been identified in the affected area. Situation does not meet threshold for operational escalation.
Domain
Weather
Region
Us Northeast, Us Northeast
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Event Cluster
2 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(resolved)
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC
Timeline5
⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Declared from 1 signals. OVIX 10. News 3. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (5 sources via Exa). wgal.com, spectrumlocalnews.com, northpennnow.com, ny1.com, binghamtonhomepage.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 7, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC
Auto-closed: no new material events within 36h for this incident.
Evidence / Why this?
Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 6, 12:00 AM UTCWhy declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Us Northeast"]
bpo score
0
news score
3
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
1
llm rationale
declare:false — operations footprint assessment confirms no contact-center or knowledge-worker presence in the affected US Northeast region, satisfying suppression criterion (a).
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
3
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
DeterministicSources✓ Corroborated · 5 sources
[Us Northeast] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel
Tornado Warning issued for Cumberland, Dauphin and Perry Counties↗wgal.comEF-1 tornado damages homes in Otsego County↗spectrumlocalnews.comStorm cleanup underway after widespread outages hit North Penn, Indian Valley regions – North Penn Now↗northpennnow.comTornado confirmed to have hit town of Pittsfield on Tuesday↗ny1.comNWS confirms tornado touchdown in Pittsfield↗binghamtonhomepage.comRelated Signals1
External Corroboration
✓ Corroborated · 5 sourcesChecked Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTCTornado Warning issued for Cumberland, Dauphin and Perry Counties↗wgal.comJul 5, 2026, 10:51 PM UTCEF-1 tornado damages homes in Otsego County↗spectrumlocalnews.comJul 3, 2026, 12:46 AM UTCStorm cleanup underway after widespread outages hit North Penn, Indian Valley regions – North Penn Now↗northpennnow.comJul 5, 2026, 01:02 PM UTCTornado confirmed to have hit town of Pittsfield on Tuesday↗ny1.comJul 1, 2026, 01:19 AM UTCNWS confirms tornado touchdown in Pittsfield↗binghamtonhomepage.comJul 2, 2026, 02:21 PM UTC
Affected Regions
Us Northeast