SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 3 sources5d ago

Tornado Warning — Dare, NC

Duplicate sentinel signals flag a Tornado Warning for Dare County, NC. News coverage spans unrelated weather events across Maharashtra, China, France, Ireland, and New Jersey — none with confirmed contact-center or knowledge-worker operational exposure. No actionable WFM impact identified across this cluster.

Impact Summary

Duplicate sentinel signals flag a Tornado Warning for Dare County, NC. News coverage spans unrelated weather events across Maharashtra, China, France, Ireland, and New Jersey — none with confirmed contact-center or knowledge-worker operational exposure. No actionable WFM impact identified across this cluster.

Domain
Weather
Region
Dare, NC, Dare, NC
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Event Cluster
3 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(resolved)
Jul 8, 2026, 08:00 AM UTC

Timeline5

⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Declared from 2 signals. OVIX 10. News 3. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (3 sources via Exa). newsobserver.com, charlotteobserver.com, heraldsun.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 6, 2026, 08:00 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (2 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 8, 2026, 08:00 AM UTC
Auto-closed: no new material events within 36h for this incident.

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 6, 07:30 PM UTC
Why declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Dare, NC"]
bpo score
0
news score
3
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
2
llm rationale
declare:false — operations footprint shows no contact-center or knowledge-worker presence in Dare County, NC, and the signal is a duplicate; suppression criteria (a) and (b) both apply.
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
3
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
Deterministic

Related Signals2

[Dare, NC] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel5d ago[Dare, NC] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel5d ago

External Corroboration

✓ Corroborated · 3 sourcesChecked Jul 6, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
UPDATE: Thunderstorms with damaging winds in Eastern North Carolina Tuesday | Raleigh News & Observer↗newsobserver.comJun 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTCSevere thunderstorm watch for Dare and Hyde counties Tuesday evening | Charlotte Observer↗charlotteobserver.comJun 23, 2026, 09:55 PM UTCSevere thunderstorm watch in place for Eastern North Carolina until Saturday night | Durham Herald Sun↗heraldsun.comJun 27, 2026, 06:51 PM UTC

Affected Regions

Dare, NC