SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 4 sources9d ago

Tornado Warning — Us Midwest

A Tornado Warning has been issued for the US Midwest. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations are present in the affected region, limiting direct WFM relevance. No staffing or service-level disruption is anticipated for tracked sites.

Impact Summary

A Tornado Warning has been issued for the US Midwest. No known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations are present in the affected region, limiting direct WFM relevance. No staffing or service-level disruption is anticipated for tracked sites.

Domain
Weather
Region
Us Midwest, Us Midwest
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
Event Cluster
12 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(auto-max-age)
Jul 5, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC

Timeline16

⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
Declared from 1 signals. OVIX 10. News 3. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (4 sources via Exa). ktiv.com, kcau9.com, watchers.news, kcci.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 3, 2026, 02:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 3, 2026, 02:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 3, 2026, 05:00 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 3, 2026, 05:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 3, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (2 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (2 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
↻
Revalidatedby watchkeeperJul 4, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Revalidated: no new activity. Next reval in 48h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 4, 2026, 09:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 4, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 5, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 5, 2026, 06:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 5, 2026, 07:30 PM UTC
Auto-closed (max-age backstop): exceeded 3d since declaration. Continued coverage does not extend an incident's operational window (spec §3.1).

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jul 2, 07:00 PM UTC
Why declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
domain
weather
regions
["Us Midwest"]
bpo score
0
news score
3
llm declare
no
max severity
10
signal count
1
llm rationale
declare:false — operations footprint assessment confirms no contact-center or knowledge-worker presence in the affected US Midwest region, satisfying suppression criterion (a).
aggregate title
no
high confidence
yes
acute weather floor
yes
deterministic floor
yes
model claude-sonnet-4-6 · prompt watchkeeper-declare-2026-06
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
domain
weather
bpo score
0
news score
3
persistent
no
max severity
10
auto validated
yes
acute weather floor
yes
Geo Provenance
Tierprecise
Sourcesignal_coords
Deterministic

Related Signals7

[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel6d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel6d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel7d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel7d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel8d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel8d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel9d ago

External Corroboration

✓ Corroborated · 4 sourcesChecked Jul 2, 2026, 07:00 PM UTC
That tornado moved north between Smithland and Oto with some damage reported to farmland between those two communities.↗ktiv.comJul 2, 2026, 03:57 AM UTCTornado confirmed in rural Woodbury County↗kcau9.comJul 2, 2026, 03:46 AM UTCEnhanced Risk issued for severe thunderstorms across Midwest and Upper Great Lakes - The Watchers↗watchers.newsJul 1, 2026, 01:45 PM UTCIowa weather: Tornado spotted in Woodbury County↗kcci.comJul 2, 2026, 05:10 PM UTC

Affected Regions

Us Midwest