SEV3 — ElevatedCLOSEDWeather✓ Corroborated · 5 sources12d ago

Tornado Warning — Us Midwest

A Tornado Warning has been issued for the US Midwest, with associated severe weather signals. News coverage also captures unrelated wildfire activity in Colorado and California, and rainfall forecasts for Rajasthan, India. None of these events intersect with known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations footprints.

Impact Summary

A Tornado Warning has been issued for the US Midwest, with associated severe weather signals. News coverage also captures unrelated wildfire activity in Colorado and California, and rainfall forecasts for Rajasthan, India. None of these events intersect with known contact-center or knowledge-worker operations footprints.

Domain
Weather
Region
Us Midwest, Us Midwest
Opened By
watchkeeper
Jun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Validated By
auto
Jun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Event Cluster
12 events
OVIX Score
10.0
Closed
watchkeeper-auto(auto-max-age)
Jul 2, 2026, 08:30 AM UTC

Timeline16

⚠
Incident openedby watchkeeperJun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Declared from 1 signals. OVIX 10. News 2. BPO 0. Acute severe-weather floor (agents-028): authoritative short-fuse warning, declared at SEV3 regardless of resolved BPO footprint.
✓
Severity validatedby autoJun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Auto-validated: SEV3 per policy.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
External corroboration: corroborated (5 sources via Exa). cbsnews.com, theintelligencer.com, effinghamradio.com, weather.com, nbcchicago.com
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 29, 2026, 08:31 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 29, 2026, 01:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 29, 2026, 02:00 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 30, 2026, 02:01 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (2 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 30, 2026, 02:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJun 30, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 1, 2026, 06:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 1, 2026, 06:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
↻
Revalidatedby watchkeeperJul 1, 2026, 08:30 AM UTC
Revalidated: no new activity. Next reval in 48h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 01:30 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✎
Note addedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 02:00 AM UTC
Merged new cluster (1 signals, OVIX 10) — same domain, active <24h.
✖
Incident closedby watchkeeperJul 2, 2026, 08:30 AM UTC
Auto-closed (max-age backstop): exceeded 3d since declaration. Continued coverage does not extend an incident's operational window (spec §3.1).

Evidence / Why this?

Traced to source — read-onlyUpdated Jun 30, 09:19 PM UTC
Why declareddeclareHybrid
Incident declaration (deterministic floor + LLM relevance gate)v1
DECLARE when deterministicFloor AND (llm.declare OR acuteWeatherFloor) AND NOT aggregateTitle, and no open same-domain incident merges it. deterministicFloor = maxSeverity>=8 AND (newsScore>=1 OR bpoScore>=1 OR acuteWeatherFloor). acuteWeatherFloor = maxSeverity>=9 AND any signal is an acute severe-weather WARNING (tornado/severe-thunderstorm/flash-flood) — overrides the LLM footprint-based suppression. aggregateTitle (grab-bag "Multiple/Several/Various…") is refused (agents-019 §D). Asset-class deny (military/war-zone, WFM-37) suppresses earlier. cyberFloor disabled (agents-009 hotfix).
Why SEV3SEV3score 3Deterministic
Incident severity level (SEV1–SEV4) at declarationv1
Base: SEV2 if sev>=9 AND news>=2 AND bpo>=1; else SEV3 if sev>=8 AND (news>=1 OR bpo>=1); else SEV4. Acute severe-weather (agents-028): if sev>=9 floor to SEV3 (SEV2→SEV3); minor/transient watches+advisories drop SEV2/SEV3→SEV4. Single-event cap: any SEV2 caps to SEV3 absent sustained multi-day BPO-region corroboration (SEV2 promotion is human-gated via revalidation). score = numeric SEV (1=most severe … 4); SEV3/SEV4 auto-validate, SEV1/SEV2 require human validation.
Geo Provenance
Tierapprox
Deterministic
Sources✓ Corroborated · 5 sources

Related Signals8

[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel9d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel10d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel10d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel11d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Watchsentinel11d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Watchsentinel12d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel12d ago[Us Midwest] weather 10.0 — Tornado Warningsentinel12d ago

External Corroboration

✓ Corroborated · 5 sourcesChecked Jun 29, 2026, 08:01 AM UTC
Tornadoes tear through multiple states as severe weather roils ...↗cbsnews.comJun 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTCTornado warning issued for parts of southern Illinois, St. Louis metro↗theintelligencer.comJun 21, 2026, 10:15 PM UTCTornado Warning For Wayne & Edwards Counties | Effingham Radio↗effinghamradio.comJun 21, 2026, 11:57 PM UTCUPDATES: Severe storms, tornado threat builds in Midwest as Deep ...↗weather.comJun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM UTCChicago forecast: 2 rounds of severe storms bring tornado risk – NBC Chicago↗nbcchicago.comJun 17, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Affected Regions

Us Midwest